The theory of obvious bets. How to catch goals in live

Let's compare fishing with a balance beam and fishing with bets. What makes these fishing methods remarkable, who is more suitable for them, their pros and cons.

What should you use to catch pike in winter in order to have a good catch and for the fishing itself to remain exciting? Questions of this kind often arise for winter fishermen on the eve of the new ice season, as new catchy artificial decoys come to the market, and betting no longer seems to be the only possible alternative on the road to a good catch.

Not long ago the picture was simpler

In winter, the toothy fish were hunted either with poles - stakes, or with vertical lures. At the same time, the vertical spinner was and remains a rather difficult bait to master, which forces you to make many holes, especially if the reservoir is not very rich in pike. And even the most experienced and skilled spinners, who know almost everything about summer pike lures, encountered great difficulties when mastering a vertical lure. And here the baits themselves, or rather their manufacturers, are to blame. A particular manufacturer has his own views on the optimal shape and puts into the design a certain game, the one he considers the best - one person catches, but give the same bait to another fisherman, and he will not catch anything. As a result, there was no clear system in winter lures, and it was not easy for an angler who decided to start fishing with a vertical lure to grab onto something basic and definite. This picture led to the fact that even ardent spinning fishermen, who could not imagine themselves catching pike in the summer with girders or live bait, hunted the predator from the ice exclusively for fry using bets.

Catching pike with winter fishing rods

This is the most general information, but on fishing forums you will find answers to a variety of questions - how to fish with girders in shallow water, in snags, in particularly severe frosts, and so on. A funny incident, they say, happened at the Rudnensky VDHR, near Slutsk. At a shallow depth, the bet worked, but the pike went into the grass, with a hook. Neighbors came up with drills, drilled holes, and someone was able to use a hook to find and free the fishing line. We pulled the pike out of the new hole. In this regard, seriously, I would like to say that those who consider girders to be a departure from classical fishing are not entirely right. Just like with a winter fishing rod, you need to know where it is best to make holes, how to set up the correct tackle, how to catch the shot flag, and hook on time. Author: Pike.Pinsk©

The appearance of balancers

The situation changed with the advent of a balance beam into winter fishing, armed with which many fishermen began to catch not only pike, but also pike perch and large perch. And the balancer itself is a much more understandable bait than a vertical spoon, with a clearly defined game, which was initially built into the design of the bait, and most importantly, it can be bought in a store, and not a pig in a poke, as was the case with vertical baits, but good ones catchable models, and there is no need to turn to the services of homemade craftsmen. As a result, many winter fishermen again threw their bets aside and began to enthusiastically master the more modern artificial bait, which slowly began to crowd out the girder. But has the balancer completely placed its bet on the blades? Let's try to figure this out.

Principle of operation

The history of the supply began with the use of girders. These designs are very similar, but have several important differences. The fishermen shows the bite by raising a red flag. The catch does not signal a catch in any way. The fish is detected on its own, and the fisherman should know a few subtleties in order to detect the bite in time and pull out the catch. The supply is so easy to make that you can make a dozen or even more pieces in a few hours. In this case, a minimum of effort and money will be spent.

The supply works only with live bait. You can catch it in the river, or buy it in advance at a specialized store. Then the bait is unwound, the live bait is put on the tee and lowered into the reservoir. Fixing the tackle is done using a regular stick or other similar object. The stand is suitable for both winter and summer pike fishing.

Balancer or girder

In general, I believe that the pike balancer is still a pursuit of the number of medium-sized toothy ones. But to improve the quality of catches, fishing with live bait is more suitable, with which it is much safer to hunt for solid fish. In many reservoirs, toothy fish are actively caught not only with girders, but also with balance beams. And it is not surprising that when comparing the results, you involuntarily contrast one deception with another.

It is impossible not to admit the fact that the balancer is a deception with a great future

It is especially helpful in those reservoirs where the pike is unfamiliar with it and does not cause any fear, which greatly increases the likelihood of overall success. In my fishing I use models from both well-known brands and “nameless Chinese”. Moreover, neither I nor the fish noticed any significant difference between them. In my opinion, the color of the balancer doesn't really matter. I successfully caught pike with bright, irritatingly colored models at depths of up to 2.5 meters, and vice versa, with dull and nondescript ones at depths of over five meters in non-crystal clear water.

For those who want to master fishing with a balance beam, it is important to know that this is a bait for very active fishermen; it is not for nothing that they say that a sharp drill is the balance beam’s first friend. And usually on such fishing you have to do 70-100 or even more holes, not everyone can do it.

But fishing with bets - zherlitsy - has an ancient history, it is more measured and productive

It is impossible to describe the whole gamut of feelings exposed by the contemplation of a fluttering piece of bright matter. At the same time, it is an undeniable fact that truly large pikes are caught in winter using live bait, and in the world of artificial baits such trophies are a very rare and isolated occurrence. I myself went through many years of live bait practice, and about twelve years ago I began to simultaneously master fishing with a balance beam. Over the years, my opinion on the effectiveness of these gears has not changed. My largest pike, caught on a balance beam, weighed 4 kilos. And such trophies were very rare. At stake, this is a fairly common fish, and to improve the quality of the catch, I always preferred fishing with live bait, with which it is much more accurate to hunt for large toothy fish. As for the number of zherlits, at one time I was clearly convinced that with 30 bets you won’t catch more than 5-10. I think there won't be much difference even between ten and five. By the way, in many regions fishing is allowed for no more than 5 fishing rods and people catch so much that they cannot carry it away.

Choosing live bait for betting

Pike, according to popular belief, is an omnivorous predator. Its diet includes sick, wounded, passive fish. Therefore, the predator is called the orderly of reservoirs.

Although pike are omnivorous, they are usually in no hurry to grab unfamiliar potential prey. Therefore, as live bait, you should choose the fish that is most abundant in the reservoir.

Taking into account the preferences of pike, we will assign places to universal live baits:

I. Roach. Even in peat bog canals where roaches are not found, pike often prefer this particular fish.

II. Crucian carp. This is perhaps the most durable live bait.

III. Grass perch.

IV. Rudd, silver bream, white bream.

Many experienced fishermen say that the notorious gudgeon does not work or shows minimal results. It is better to refuse chub as live bait in advance, since this is a rare fish in our country.

Fishing for pike on a balance beam on frozen peat bogs

How to catch perch and pike with live bait

Catching pike in the lake - rules for successful fishing

Luck and work

More and more young anglers are becoming interested in bet fishing, often wanting more fish, that is, “everything at once.” By the way, I would like to note that the bet is often called “poor” tackle and they say so not because fishing is primitive, this, of course, is not so, but because in this fishing the pike often chooses the fisherman itself, that is, a lot depends on Good luck. How many times have I witnessed one fisherman’s flags constantly “lighting up” in a small area of ​​a reservoir, while many of his friends and neighbors were in complete silence. And there are no logical explanations for this phenomenon. And the gear is almost the same, and the equipment, and even the live bait is the same. I myself have been both lucky and unlucky many times. That is, in such fishing, much less depends on the fisherman than in balance fishing, where you actively look for fish, tirelessly drilling through the ice, find a predator and force it to bite. At headquarters you simply wait more for the weather by the sea... In the morning the bite is at the edge of the reeds, and already in the afternoon it is dull here, but the gear along the flat stretch comes to life, and by the evening the pike breaks through to eat almost everywhere. Today it’s like this, but in a week everything is exactly the opposite.

What other fish can you catch?

The postavushka is used not only as a tool for catching pikes. This tackle is also suitable for catching catfish, burbot, carp and pike perch.

A huge advantage of supplies is that thanks to their use, you can catch fish even in those reservoirs where there are few of them, spending a minimum of time. Just throw out a rig with hardy live bait and come back a couple of times a day to check the rig and pick up your catch. For greater effect, you can throw several supplies.

A group of fishermen revealed the name of the secret bait during interrogation.

Source

Fish don't care about people's opinions

It also happens that you catch from certain points year after year, and it’s successful, then again, and there are no fish at all, as if there had never been any. You can pretend to be smart here, talk about unfavorable oxygen conditions, changes in the movement paths of forage fish, etc., but sometimes I think that pike lives by its own laws in winter, but people’s opinions are indifferent to it. Studying my long-term diary, I clearly see that even the weather does not have much influence on the bite of winter pike - lunar phases, wind directions, temperature, atmospheric pressure, calendar time. How many times has it happened that even with the most favorable weather conditions, no pike bite was observed at all! At the same time, it often happened that all the forecasts did not foretell anything good - a dead winter, strong winds from the northern and eastern directions, the pressure fluctuates greatly, and the flags still shoot out as a feast for the eyes. This unpredictability has long convinced me to go winter fishing in any weather.

How to make sure bets in live betting

Live arbs are a real-time sports betting strategy. You don't need a mistake in the line, but the right choice to start the match.

For example, in the match “Spartak” - CSKA before the start of the match, you bet on the total goals less than 2.5 for 2.05. If the score is not opened within 10-15 minutes, then the odds for total goals greater than 2.5 become above 2.00. By betting the same amount on the opposite outcome, you will make a profit for any outcome.

This strategy is also called insurance in live betting.

My opinion

But still, the hour came when it became unbearable for me to deal with waiting for bets, and I decided to give my heart to the balancer. This decision was also prompted by a fishing trip that happened two years ago, when I caught a lot of pike on the girders. The bets are now at home, just in case, and I’m not so interested in fishing with them anymore. There is a whole complex of reasons: I don’t want to kill these large pikes, and the very essence of fishing has ceased to be attractive. And similar sentiments are observed among many winter fishermen. People are moving away from live bait fishing by switching to a balancer, especially since with it, in addition to pike, there is a great chance of hooking large perch and pike perch. And let the toothy one rest, we will deal with it in the summer, and especially in the autumn, which is rich in biting.

Keitech mad wag mini 2.5

Rotan in winter

Floating vent

Choosing a place to bet

A good location is an 80% guarantee of an enviable catch.

Pike is an ambush predator. Therefore, you should focus on areas with snags, bushes, reeds and other aquatic vegetation, depth changes, and edges.

If there are no visible places with vegetation sticking out above the water, you have to start fishing by measuring the depths. To search for changes in depth, holes, and submerged snags, it is best to use an echo sounder or depth gauge. The main rule here is this: it is better to spend extra time looking for interesting places than to place bets at random.

Fishing for pike on a balance beam on frozen peat bogs

How to catch perch and pike with live bait

Catching pike in the lake - rules for successful fishing

Is it possible to make money on value bets on the Internet?

Valui is a direct mistake of the bookmaker. A value bet is a market with obviously inappropriate quotes, most often this is seen on football events of average popularity, on markets such as handicap, total and outcome. When a bookmaker decides to raise the odds on an outright favorite, this can play into the hands of an experienced player.

  • This system allows you to have a stable income on bets only when the better is oriented in some sports niche.
  • You should not try to cover all disciplines, since recognizing the value will not be easy, and the risks will increase significantly.
  • For example, if a player understands football, then it is these lines in bookmakers that he should examine for the presence of value.

How to do it?

The only correct way is to start making your own murals. The player examines the statistics of the team’s previous matches, analyzes the behavior of the athletes on the field and draws up his vision of the outcome of the confrontation. Then he compares the received numbers with what the bookmaker offers. If in any market the numbers are significantly different, this is value. But for this you need to have a large amount of knowledge regarding the chosen discipline.

You can also find all kinds of resources and programs on the Internet that will help you find value bets:

  • Capper resources specializing in value.
  • Online value bet scanners and special applications.
  • Betting forums and sites.

The main condition for value bets is that the bet is for the same amount; such a uniform approach will allow you to gain profit over a long distance and quickly expand the bank, but only if you select the values ​​correctly.

  • For example, a player is confident that in the match “Shakhtar – Dynamo” the victory will be for the first team, the analysis only confirms this, and the bookmaker sets the odds for Shakhtar’s victory to be 3.4.
  • Even if the bettor managed to find three such matches at different bookmakers and bet 1000 rubles on each value, even if one bet does not work out, the player will still be in the black.

It is impossible to get rich with value bets. Is it possible to gain a small advantage from such bets? It is possible, since this is the only method that is associated with bookmaker errors and there is no liability for it, so it is best to make money using this method. Players are not blocked for searching for values ​​and betting on them.

Installation of girders (flags, stakes, supplies) for pike

What does a pike bait look like in winter? There are many options for the design of the gear, but the equipment is the same. The design of a winter pike trap should provide a number of functions:

There are many varieties of winter fishing poles for pike. Some models can be bought in the store. In their likeness, many anglers make their own pike flags or improve store-bought products. The tackle for pike in winter is essentially a reel with fishing line with the ability to secure the equipment in the working position.

At the same time, when a predator bites, it easily pulls out the fixed equipment and moves to the side when it grabs, but live bait is not able to do this. The alarm system is made of spring or pendulum elements with a flag or other bright object visible from afar. When bitten, these elements are also released or raised, fixing the unwinding.

Types of girders for pike in winter:

Above and below the ice

All of the above options are over-ice girders for active fishing. They imply constant monitoring of them and maintenance of the holes (clearing ice). In Siberia, the North and in rural areas, when the reservoir is often visited and the pike's anchorage areas are known, under-ice girders (postavushki, kolobashki) are more often used.

It is advisable to use such gear for leaving it on a pond overnight and checking it in the morning. In the North, the practice is to permanently install shelters throughout the winter. To do this, two holes are drilled nearby. In one, the tackle is hung on the crossbar (all the equipment, including the reel with fishing line, is placed under the ice, in the water), the hole is left there and freezes. Maintenance, checking, fishing is carried out through the second hole.

To get the equipment, it is picked up with a special wire poker (hook), and after reloading it is lowered into the water again. The reel itself with a slot (split) for fishing line was previously made of wood and was called a kolobashka (kolobakha). Now it is more advisable to use plastic reels, for example, from yogurt bottles filled with sand (so that they do not float).

The line comes off well when unwinding. This principle is the progenitor of all spinning reels. Such a pike rig can last until the ice melts. If the hole is frozen, it’s okay, you can drill a new one nearby (or break the old one with an ice pick). In general, an ice pick is a very necessary tool for a girder. If a fisherman decides to get serious about fishing rods, then he will need to acquire such a tool.

Pike in winter

Winter fishing for pike with jigs is not a passive activity at all. The angler needs to find or catch live bait, then decide on the reservoir and location. You also need to find a toothy fish on a pond. Winter migrations of fry, changes in the oxygen regime in the water and weather can force the predator to leave its habitat. Read more about the winter behavior of the toothy robber in a separate article.

Winter baits for pike bring a bite even in the dead of winter, when it is difficult to catch a toothy fish with artificial bait. Live fish are traditionally considered the best bait for this predator. Winter girder fishing occurs according to a specific strategy for choosing a place and tactics for finding fish. The features of catching a toothy robber with flags, the process of installing winter girders and the nuances are discussed in this article:

Here we will analyze in detail the design of pike girders in winter, the design options for gear, and the features of equipment depending on various fishing conditions.

Installation of girders (flags, stakes, supplies) for pike

What does a pike bait look like in winter? There are many options for the design of the gear, but the equipment is the same. The design of a winter pike trap should provide a number of functions:

There are many varieties of winter fishing poles for pike. Some models can be bought in the store. In their likeness, many anglers make their own pike flags or improve store-bought products. The tackle for pike in winter is essentially a reel with fishing line with the ability to secure the equipment in the working position. At the same time, when a predator bites, it easily pulls out the fixed equipment and moves to the side when it grabs, but live bait is not able to do this. The alarm system is made of spring or pendulum elements with a flag or other bright object visible from afar. When bitten, these elements are also released or raised, fixing the unwinding.

Types of girders for pike in winter:

Refinement and improvement of factory vents - video:

Above and below the ice

All of the above options are over-ice girders for active fishing. They imply constant monitoring of them and maintenance of the holes (clearing ice). In Siberia, the North and in rural areas, when the reservoir is often visited and the pike's anchorage areas are known, under-ice girders (postavushki, kolobashki) are more often used. It is advisable to use such gear for leaving it on a pond overnight and checking it in the morning. In the North, the practice is to permanently install shelters throughout the winter. To do this, two holes are drilled nearby. In one, the tackle is hung on the crossbar (all the equipment, including the reel with fishing line, is placed under the ice, in the water), the hole is left there and freezes. Maintenance, checking, fishing is carried out through the second hole.

To get the equipment, it is picked up with a special wire poker (hook), and after reloading it is lowered into the water again. The reel itself with a slot (split) for fishing line was previously made of wood and was called a kolobashka (kolobakha). Now it is more advisable to use plastic reels, for example, from yogurt bottles filled with sand (so that they do not float). The line comes off well when unwinding. This principle is the progenitor of all spinning reels. Such a pike rig can last until the ice melts. If the hole is frozen, it’s okay, you can drill a new one nearby (or break the old one with an ice pick). In general, an ice pick is a very necessary tool for a girder. If a fisherman decides to get serious about fishing rods, then he will need to acquire such a tool.

Pike in winter

Winter fishing for pike with jigs is not a passive activity at all. The angler needs to find or catch live bait, then decide on the reservoir and location. You also need to find a toothy fish on a pond. Winter migrations of fry, changes in the oxygen regime in the water and weather can force the predator to leave its habitat. Read more about the winter behavior of the toothy robber in a separate article.

Winter baits for pike bring a bite even in the dead of winter, when it is difficult to catch a toothy fish with artificial bait. Live fish are traditionally considered the best bait for this predator. Winter girder fishing occurs according to a specific strategy for choosing a place and tactics for finding fish. The features of catching a toothy robber with flags, the process of installing winter girders and the nuances are discussed in this article:

Here we will analyze in detail the design of pike girders in winter, the design options for gear, and the features of equipment depending on various fishing conditions.

How to equip pike girders in winter

Whatever the design of pike girders in winter, they all have one thing in common – the equipment. At first glance, the rigging for pike in winter is simple - line, sinker, leash and hook. Measure the working depth, plant the bait and lower it into the hole. But in fact, there are a number of features that must be followed, otherwise fishing may not be successful.

The equipment of a winter girder for pike is adjusted based on the fishing conditions, as well as depending on the winter period and the size of the expected trophy. Let's look at how to properly equip a girder for pike fishing in winter.

Coil tuning and modification

Standard equipment

How to properly assemble and equip a pike rig in winter? The basic equipment is the same - a fishing line, a sliding sinker on it, a leash through a swivel and a hook. The nuances lie in the characteristics of these accessories. To equip a winter fishing rod for a pike, 20-30 meters of fishing line is wound on a reel. A high-quality fishing line for fishing pike in winter is selected; the best option is winter fluorocarbon or fluorocarbon with low memory.

The diameters of the reel reels are usually small, so a thick fishing line with memory will fall off from them in rings, which can alert a cautious predator. The thickness of the fishing line for fishing pike in winter varies depending on the angler’s experience in fishing and the expected size of the predator, usually it is about 3-04 mm. Naturally, the thinner the line, the more bites. Pike are often very cautious in winter.

Swing – Strategy for betting on individual totals in basketball quarters

This strategy is called “Swing-IT”. According to this strategy, bets are placed on the individual total of teams in basketball matches.

Bets are placed on IT in the first quarter of the team - the favorite, which should preferably play on the home floor.

We select 15-20 matches in the basketball line, where the odds for the first team to win will be no more than 1.38. If you know even a little about basketball and can do even a light analysis on any sports statistics site, then do it with these matches.

You need to make sure that the selected teams are favorites. To do this, just look at the location of our teams in the standings - everything is simple: the higher our favorite is from its opponent in the standings, the more points it gains and the fewer concedes. Just remember to take into account the number of games played.

Then we need to compare which teams our favorites met, how they played against them and how the opponents of our favorites played against them.

This is the simplest analysis, after which 5-7 matches will be eliminated, since in them you will see inflated expectations of bookmakers and risks for yourself.

Next, on the same statistics website, you need to perform some more simple analyzes with the remaining 5-15 matches: you need to look at the statistics of the last 3-6 personal meetings in each match. Personal meetings can be taken from the year before, last and current seasons. If there are not so many statistics of personal meetings during this time, then such a match is not suitable for us.

Now you need to determine what the average individual total of the first team (favorite) in the first quarter is given by the bookmaker.

We determine it as follows: go to the bookmaker’s website and look at the schedule of the first quarter of the selected match. Where opposite the individual total of the first team there is an EF of 1.85 or 1.9, this is the average total. For example, for IT 22 the bookmaker gives an EF of 1.85.

Let's go back to the statistics and look at the past matches of the selected match, how many times this average total was broken in the quarters in each game.

Now we analyze and bet: we selected the upcoming match and determined the size of the average total of the first team in the first quarter and assume it was 22. Over the last year or two, there are statistics from three to six personal meetings for the selected match. In each past personal meeting, we look at how many times the team we selected broke this average total.

Thus, we need to analyze each past head-to-head match and record how many times our favorite hit the tollal in each of the four quarters in each past match.

And now attention! If in past personal meetings in a selected match, the favorite team broke through the average individual total in 60% and in most matches (for example, in two out of three matches and in 7 out of 12 quarters of these three matches), then we then work according to the strategy.

There are no bets placed on the first quarter. We need to wait until the end of the first quarter and see what the individual total will be for our favorite based on this result. If, based on the results of the first quarter played, the IT of the first team is lower by at least 5 points from the identified average total, then in the second quarter you need to place a bet for a minimum coefficient of 1.4 -1.5 equal to the total below the identified average, ideally by 4 points, or at least by 2. As we remember, average IT. was 22, which means we put it on IT. in the second quarter 18 or 20 for an EF of 1.4-1.5.

In the first quarter, the chosen favorite can beat IT, then we discard this match. And if in the first quarter the size of IT. the favorite will be more than five points with a difference in the revealed average IT, then we also discard such a match.

If all points of this betting strategy are carried out correctly, it will show very good results over the course.

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